Future projections indicate that emissions from plastics are expected to rise significantly. According to estimates from the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD), emissions from plastics could increase from approximately 2 billion metric tons to around 4 billion metric tons by the year 2060.
Efforts in recycling are ongoing, with new methods being developed that may enhance the capability to recycle a wider variety of plastics and simplify the recycling process. However, addressing the issue of plastics solely at the end of their life cycle may not be sufficient to mitigate their climate impacts. A substantial proportion of emissions related to plastics is generated during their production phase. Therefore, it is suggested that innovative approaches to manufacturing plastics, possibly involving alternative materials and energy sources, are necessary to reduce reliance on oil and gas. Additionally, a reassessment of the overall volume of plastic produced could be beneficial.
The status of the plastic treaty remains uncertain but is not abandoned, as officials are planning efforts to revive negotiations. Currently, it is reported that less than 10% of all plastic ever produced has been recycled. This includes common items such as water bottles and clothing made from polyester, many of which persist in landfills or the environment. Furthermore, the greenhouse gases emitted during plastic production continue to contribute to climate change.
These insights highlight the complexity of addressing plastic pollution and its associated emissions, emphasizing the need for comprehensive strategies that encompass both production methods and recycling efforts.
Source: https://www.technologyreview.com/2025/08/21/1122247/recycling-climate-emissions/